TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Chicago Fire and Philadelphia. Bettors assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed specific thresholds by the end of regular play, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored in the Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia MLS match scheduled for October 14, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the combined goals from both teams exceed a specified number—ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals—after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets share the same underlying condition: the total goals must surpass the threshold for a 'Yes' outcome. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse opinions of informed traders. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move more quickly in response to breaking news. It’s important to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the potential outcome of the match, but this market provides a unique perspective based on collective intelligence.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the total number of goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. The goal is for the market price to converge towards the true probability of each outcome as the event approaches. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for efficient discovery of information.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Chicago Fire versus Philadelphia match will be the determining factor. This includes any goals scored during regulation time or added time, but does not include penalty shootouts. The final score will be sourced from official match data and used to determine which contracts will pay out, and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Chicago Fire or Philadelphia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team tactics or formations might prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Finally, significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.