TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a soccer match between two teams where the outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal within the regular 90 minutes and any added stoppage time. The focus is solely on the scoring during normal match time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The result hinges entirely on the offensive performance of both participating teams during the standard duration of play.
If Chicago Fire and Philadelphia both score a goal in the Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As more people trade, the odds tend to become more efficient, potentially offering a different perspective than what’s available at sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia match. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. The more buyers, the higher the price, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of the event's potential.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Chicago Fire and Philadelphia score at least one goal during the match. Official match results, as reported by recognized sports data providers, will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result, and payouts will be processed accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final score.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Chicago Fire or Philadelphia would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift the odds. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before the match could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or fan discussions, could influence trading behavior and alter the price of contracts.