TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Chicago Fire will win their professional MLS soccer game against Philadelphia. Currently, Kalshi gives Chicago Fire a 41.0% probability of winning, while Philadelphia has a 34.0% probability. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 14, 2026, as the final whistle will determine the outcome of this market.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Chicago Fire win, Philadelphia win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final score and official winner will determine which contracts pay out, and the platform will automatically settle all open positions at that time. Traders should monitor the event closely as it approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Chicago Fire or Philadelphia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, weather forecasts for the match location, and even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also play a role, leading to shifts in the perceived probabilities and contract prices.