TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Chicago Fire and Orlando, scheduled for October 28, 2026. The focus is on determining whether Chicago Fire, Orlando, or neither (a tie) secures a victory within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends strictly on the final result of that specific game timeframe, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event determines the winner of the Chicago Fire vs Orlando professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 28, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Chicago Fire wins within this timeframe, the 'Chicago Fire' market resolves to Yes. If Orlando wins, the 'Orlando' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the platform’s guidelines. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the MLS or its governing bodies, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incentivizing participants to make well-informed predictions. While sportsbooks may incorporate biases or adjust lines to balance their book, this market reflects the collective belief of traders who have skin in the game. However, it’s important to note that initial odds on Kalshi may differ from those found at sportsbooks, and discrepancies can emerge due to varying information and market dynamics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Chicago Fire vs Orlando match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the spread between the buy and sell prices, creating opportunities for arbitrage or speculative trading. The current market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Chicago Fire vs Orlando match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this official data. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 29, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Chicago Fire or Orlando could significantly shift expectations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or weather forecasts impacting playing conditions are also potential catalysts. Unexpected announcements about key personnel or coaching changes could also move the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants on Kalshi could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, causing prices to react accordingly.