TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between Chicago Fire and New York City in their upcoming MLS match. Each market focuses on different margins of victory for either team, reflecting various levels of dominance in the game.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Chicago Fire versus New York City professional MLS soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins by the exact margin stated in the market's title — either more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals. If neither condition is met, all markets resolve to 'No'. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks frequently set lines to attract balanced betting, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights into public sentiment and potentially identify advantageous betting opportunities, but remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official scoreline of the Chicago Fire versus NYC match, as reported by official sources. Traders will then be paid out according to their positions in the market, based on whether their predicted outcome matched the actual result. It’s important to monitor official announcements leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final outcome.
Several signals could move this market before Oct 10, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Chicago Fire or NYC would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift the odds. Weather conditions on the day of the game, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also influence trading activity. Finally, any major news regarding team tactics or coaching decisions could introduce new information and lead to price adjustments within this market.