TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:08 PM EST
Kalshi
The MLS showdown between Chicago Fire and New York City will test both teams’ attacking strategies. With each side capable of scoring, the match outcome hinges on whether both manage to find the back of the net in regular time.
If Chicago Fire and New York City both score a goal in the Chicago Fire vs New York City MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability here and sportsbook odds, it might signal an opportunity for informed trading, or a differing assessment of the likelihood of both teams scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both Teams To Score' occurring in the Chicago Fire vs NYCFC match. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all traders participating in this market, and it fluctuates based on supply and demand for these contracts. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards the true probability of the event happening.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Chicago Fire and New York City FC score at least one goal during the match. Official sources, such as sports news outlets and league websites, will be used to verify the final scoreline. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions and the final result. Keep an eye on the game's progress as it nears this date.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Chicago Fire or NYCFC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-game analysis highlighting a team's offensive capabilities could further contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.