TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.2b
24H VOL:
$325,717,424
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,014,438,903
422,382
Markets across
39,948
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,398
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Chicago Fire vs New York City professional MLS soccer game will end in a tie. Currently, “Tie is the result” is trading at 46.0% on Kalshi, while “New York City wins” is at 34.0%. The resolution source for this market is the final score of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks. Keep an eye on the teams’ form leading up to the originally scheduled match date of October 10, 2026, as that is when the betting period will close and the market will resolve based on the game’s outcome.
The event resolves based on the result of the Chicago Fire vs New York City professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Chicago Fire wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Chicago Fire' market resolves to Yes. If New York City wins under the same conditions, the 'New York City' market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage, with no regard for outcomes determined in extra time or penalty shootouts.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of many individuals. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbook odds are often influenced by factors like house bias and public perception. However, there can be discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life. It’s common to see some initial divergence before the prediction market odds stabilize and potentially outperform those offered by sportsbooks as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, meaning the price will fluctuate as new information and opinions enter the market. This creates a constantly updating assessment of the likely result of the Chicago Fire vs NYC match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Chicago Fire vs NYC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their resulting profit or loss after the resolution process is complete, providing a clear and transparent record of the market’s performance.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 10, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Chicago Fire or NYC could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising winning or losing streak, would also likely impact trading activity. Weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team’s playing style over another. Finally, any significant news related to team management or internal dynamics could introduce new information and cause the market to react.