TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 0.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 0.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 05d:03h:28m
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This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regular time of the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the Chicago Fire vs Columbus professional MLS soccer match scheduled for November 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Multiple markets correspond to different goal thresholds (over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals). If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the MLS Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names referenced belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to different probabilities. If a significant number of traders believe a certain outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a potential outcome – in this case, whether over 3.5 goals will be scored in the Chicago Fire vs Columbus match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood, creating a dynamic and real-time prediction.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Chicago Fire vs Columbus match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of goals scored by both teams during regulation time. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be counted towards the final outcome. The official match result will be used to determine whether over 3.5 goals were ultimately scored.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Chicago Fire vs Columbus match takes place. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected goal total. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable soccer analysts predicting a high-scoring or low-scoring game could sway market sentiment and drive price fluctuations.