TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 12:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group concerns the halftime result of a soccer match between Chicago Fire FC and Philadelphia Union. Markets exist to predict which team, if any, will be leading at halftime, or if the game will be tied.
In the upcoming MLS game between Chicago Fire FC and Philadelphia Union, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming MLS game between Chicago Fire FC and Philadelphia Union, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, in contrast, allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. Consequently, you may find discrepancies between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, as each represents a different form of information aggregation and incentive structure.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Chicago Fire vs. Philadelphia Union match. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility and discrepancies. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery—how traders can place bets and adjust probabilities—may differ between Polymarket and Predict, contributing to differing valuations of the same outcome. These differences reflect the independent nature of each market.