TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This group contains a comprehensive set of markets related to the Chicago Fire FC vs. Orlando City SC MLS match on October 28th. Markets include spreads, over/under goals, and both teams to score, covering both the full game and first half.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit, while prediction markets allow individuals to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. While not always the case, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, particularly as more information becomes available and volume increases.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can differ due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to different interpretations of the likely outcome of the Chicago Fire vs. Orlando City match. Trading volume and market liquidity also play a role; a market with low volume on one platform may be more susceptible to price swings. Furthermore, the specific types of markets offered – such as 1st Half O/U 4.5 on Polymarket versus Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5) on Predict – inherently attract different traders and result in varied pricing.