TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:30 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 10 at 2:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 10 at 2:30 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, factoring in a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes provide more accurate probabilities, especially when there's a lot of informed trading activity. It's common to see discrepancies, with this market potentially offering better value depending on your assessment of the teams.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which drives the price movements. The more a particular outcome is bought, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the aggregate belief of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Chicago Fire vs. NYCFC match will be used to determine the winning contract. Verification will focus on official league results and any adjustments made by governing bodies. The resolution process ensures a fair and transparent outcome for all traders who participated in this market, based on the official record of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team tactics could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-game polls, could impact trading activity. Even late-breaking news about team morale or coaching decisions could cause the market to react, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.