TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:15 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 17:00 UTC: If the Chicago Bears win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Bears". If the Green Bay Packers win, the market will resolve to "Green Bay Packers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 17:00 UTC: If the Chicago Bears win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Bears". If the Green Bay Packers win, the market will resolve to "Green Bay Packers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks in accuracy, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can provide a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of the likelihood of each possible result in the Bears-Packers rivalry, offering a dynamic view of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final result of the Chicago Bears versus Green Bay Packers game. The specific outcome that triggers settlement will be determined by the official game results as reported by a trusted sports news source. Traders will then be paid out according to their positions in the market, based on whether their predicted outcome matched the actual result. The final outcome will be publicly available following the game's completion.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any major news regarding injuries to key players on either the Bears or the Packers would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game day, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even a change in the game's location, could all contribute to movement in the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market is reacting to new information leading up to Oct 11, 2026.