TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions?

Volume:
$43,003

Saitama Seibu Lions

 - Kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 5:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions

View
55%
3%
Yes 55¢No 45¢
—
N/A
$12,709
N/A
N/A
$7,236
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines

View
45%
3%
Yes 45¢No 55¢
—
N/A
$8,342
N/A
N/A
$4,585
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,952
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a baseball game between the Chiba Lotte Marines and the Saitama Seibu Lions. The markets resolve to either the Marines winning or the Lions winning, with provisions for postponed or canceled games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a 'Yes' outcome for either team winning, while Polymarket resolves to the specific winning team.Hero tip: Kalshi is effectively a 'either/or' market, while Polymarket is a 'who will win' market. Consider this when evaluating probabilities and potential payouts.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team: "Chiba Lotte Marines" or "Saitama Seibu Lions" if either team wins. Tie or cancellation resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either the Lions or the Marines win. The date is specified as Sep 20, 2026, which is likely a data error.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event refers to the game originally scheduled for 5:00 AM ET on September 20, 2026. This game is rescheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for October 5 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the Saitama Seibu Lions win, the market will resolve to "Saitama Seibu Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Saitama Seibu Lions wins the Saitama Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chiba Lotte Marines wins the Saitama Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the NPB championship market across multiple prediction platforms, providing a consensus view of probabilities. Currently, total volume across Polymarket and Kalshi exceeds $43,003, with $17,843 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard aggregates data to show where traders collectively believe the most likely outcome lies. It’s a useful tool for understanding market sentiment and comparing forecasts from different sources. We monitor these platforms to offer a comprehensive look at expectations for this event.

Prediction market odds often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may focus heavily on statistical analysis and expert opinions, while this market incorporates insights from a wider pool of traders, potentially including inside information or nuanced perspectives. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges. However, both prediction markets and sportsbooks aim to accurately forecast the outcome, and discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage. It’s important to compare both to get a well-rounded view.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries or unexpected performance changes on either the Chiba Lotte Marines or Saitama Seibu Lions would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Major announcements regarding team strategy or coaching changes could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant news related to the overall health of the league or external factors impacting the teams could move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations.