TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.4b

24H VOL:

$88,522,881

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,328,568,758

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,171,772,699

310,288

Markets across

30,517

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,960

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
Watchlist
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Science and Technology
Entertainment
Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Nippon Ham Fighters
Sports
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Chiba Lotte Marines vs Nippon Ham Fighters?

Total volume:
$762,304
Volume 24h:
$759,244
207,992%
Liquidity:
$55,302
962%
Open interest:
$442,948
329,744%

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Nippon Ham Fighters

all

2 markets

Polymarket

100%

Kalshi

100%

consensus

100%

+21.5%

spread

100-100%

(0pp)

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

20%40%60%80%

Aug 16

Aug 17

Aug 19

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Vol.

$351.7k

·

Resolves Aug 30, 2026

Time left: 06d:18h:41m

polymarket

Polymarket

Trade
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of specific NPB baseball matchups between Chiba Lotte Marines and Nippon Ham Fighters. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 85.5%. Data is drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution governed by https://npb.jp/. Watch for the Chiba Lotte Marines versus Nippon Ham Fighters game on August 23, 2026, as this will determine the final settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: These markets reference entirely different games (different teams, dates, and outcomes) resulting in fundamentally incompatible resolution criteria.Hero tip: Do not treat these as correlated markets. Kalshi resolves based on a Fukuoka Hawks vs Nippon Ham Fighters game on Aug 19, 2026, while Polymarket resolves based on a Chiba Lotte Marines vs Nippon Ham Fighters game on Aug 23, 2026. They are separate events.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Fukuoka Hawks or Nippon Ham Fighters win the game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Chiba Lotte Marines if they win, Nippon Ham Fighters if they win, 50-50 if canceled or tied, and remains open if postponed. Game is scheduled for August 23 at 4:00AM ET
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Show more

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 23 at 4:00AM ET: If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of a specific baseball match between the Fukuoka Hawks and the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters, scheduled for August 19, 2026. If either team wins the game as originally scheduled, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed or delayed but played within two days of the original date, the market remains open until completion. If the game is rescheduled beyond two days or cancelled, the market resolves to a fair price. In the event of a tie, both markets resolve at a 50/50 split. The outcome is strictly based on the final result of the game, with no affiliation to the governing league or its entities.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Marines vs. Fighters matchup market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and divergence. It tracks total volume of $762,296 and 24-hour volume of $749,819, alongside current implied probabilities from each platform. This gives you a live snapshot of market sentiment and lets you compare how Polymarket and Kalshi price this market, highlighting any notable gaps or trends.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game outcome, which is compared against the market’s defined criteria — typically the winner of the match — and once confirmed, all positions settle automatically according to that verified result.

Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher announcements, injury updates for key players, changes in weather conditions affecting gameplay, and recent performance trends for both teams. Any unexpected developments — such as a star player being ruled out or a sudden surge in form — may cause rapid repricing as traders adjust their expectations for who will win the matchup.