TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total combined score of the Chicago Bears versus Green Bay Packers football game will exceed 39.5 points. Currently, the “over 39.5 points” outcome is trading at 80.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the game, as reported according to the rules detailed in the resolution source: If CHI Bears and GB Packers collectively score more than 45.5 points in the CHI Bears vs GB Packers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 11, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
The event consists of multiple markets, each defined by a specific numerical threshold for the total combined points scored by both teams in the Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score exceeds its respective threshold, ranging from 24.5 points to 66.5 points. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially connected with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market's pricing is driven purely by supply and demand among traders. If there's significant disagreement between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both. However, as the event nears, the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks tend to converge as more information becomes available and public sentiment solidifies. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities than initial sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point outcomes for the Bears-Packers game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date beliefs of those trading on the platform. The market depth and order book are visible, allowing traders to assess the liquidity and potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total points scored in the Bears-Packers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official scoring data from the NFL will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available information to establish the final result. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the game has concluded and the data has been verified. The outcome will be based on the official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding key player injuries to either the Bears or the Packers would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes to weather forecasts that could affect the scoring potential. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Late-breaking news about player availability, or even significant pre-game analysis from respected football commentators, could all contribute to volatility in this market up until the game begins. Any major developments related to the teams’ performance will be closely watched.