TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers during the second quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity expected in that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams during the second quarter of the designated game. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the second quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The markets cover a range of scoring levels, providing multiple opportunities to predict different outcomes for the same game quarter.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs about the actual outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling across both venues. However, it’s important to remember that sportsbooks and prediction markets each have their own unique strengths and weaknesses in forecasting event outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the 2nd quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the likelihood of the total points scored falling within a specific range.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Bears-Packers game will be used to determine the winning contracts. No further trading will be permitted once the game has concluded and the official score is available. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either the Bears or the Packers would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game’s scoring potential. Unexpected developments related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, large-volume trades from individual participants could temporarily influence the price, but the market will generally adjust as more information becomes available before Oct 11, 2026.