TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Chet Holmgren's Next Team
kalshi

Chet Holmgren's Next Team

Volume:
$17,608

Stays with Oklahoma City or Retires

 - Kalshi

Stays with Oklahoma City or Retires - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Stays with Oklahoma City or Retires

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,814
N/A
N/A
$8,740
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Milwaukee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,951
N/A
N/A
$1,139
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,349
N/A
N/A
$1,349
Settled
No
kalshi

Boston

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
$600
Settled
No
kalshi

Sacramento

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$501
N/A
N/A
$501
Settled
No
kalshi

Dallas

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$152
N/A
N/A
$152
Settled
No
kalshi

Detroit

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
$116
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles L

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
kalshi

Brooklyn

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

New York

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Toronto

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Indiana

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Charlotte

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Orlando

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Portland

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Utah

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Golden State

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

This event tracks whether Chet Holmgren, currently a player for the Oklahoma City Thunder, will change teams or remain with his current team before October 21, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if he is traded to, signs with, or stays with any NBA team, or if he retires during this timeframe.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by Chet Holmgren's team affiliation before October 21, 2026. If he joins any of the specified NBA teams, that team's market resolves Yes. If he remains with Oklahoma City Thunder or retires by the deadline, the 'Stays with Oklahoma City or Retires' market resolves Yes. All other outcomes resolve No.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially when considering information not immediately factored into sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on expert analysis, this market incorporates a continuous flow of information and diverse perspectives from traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player motivations, team needs, or unforeseen circumstances. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to breaking news or shifts in public perception than traditional betting venues, potentially offering a more dynamic and informed assessment of the likely outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular team, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information. Higher volume generally leads to tighter spreads and more efficient price discovery, reflecting a more confident assessment of each team’s chances of acquiring Chet Holmgren.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the team Chet Holmgren is officially signed to play for during the 2024-2025 NBA season. Any trades or signings occurring before the start of the season will determine the outcome. The market will settle to 100 for the team Holmgren joins, and 0 for all other possibilities. The official NBA transaction records will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome of this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding potential trades involving Chet Holmgren, coaching changes within NBA teams, or announcements about team salary cap space could all cause shifts in the odds. Injuries to key players on contending teams could also alter the landscape, influencing Holmgren’s potential destinations. Furthermore, any public statements from Holmgren himself or from team executives could provide valuable clues and drive trading activity. Unexpected draft picks or free agent signings by other teams could also indirectly affect the probabilities, making this a dynamic market to watch closely.