TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in England's Super League. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match scheduled for a specific date and time. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will affect how the market concludes.
The event determines the winner of a men's professional basketball game between Cheshire Phoenix and Liverpool, scheduled for October 30, 2026, at 3:30 PM EDT. If Liverpool wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and if Cheshire Phoenix wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. It is important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current market depth and order flow can be viewed directly on the Kalshi dashboard, offering insights into potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cheshire Phoenix vs Liverpool match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to this date for any developments that could impact the event.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Performance in prior matches, weather conditions, and even public sentiment expressed through social media or expert analysis can all play a role. Major upsets in related games or broader sporting events could also indirectly affect this market, as traders reassess probabilities and adjust their positions accordingly.