TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Cherdivar Victor and Ghimp Fiodor in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 22 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cherdivar Victor' if Cherdivar Victor wins against Ghimp Fiodor. This market will resolve to 'Ghimp Fiodor' if Ghimp Fiodor wins against Cherdivar Victor. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Cherdivar Victor and Ghimp Fiodor in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 22 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cherdivar Victor' if Cherdivar Victor wins against Ghimp Fiodor. This market will resolve to 'Ghimp Fiodor' if Ghimp Fiodor wins against Cherdivar Victor. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how collective intelligence differs from traditional oddsmaking. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, reflects the aggregated predictions of many individual traders, potentially incorporating information not readily available to sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the price discovery process. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cherdivar vs. Ghimp match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The process aims to provide a transparent and reliable determination of the market’s outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Cherdivar or Ghimp would likely cause a shift in the odds, as would updates on their training regimens or recent performance. Public announcements about strategy changes or potential tactical adjustments could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the broader sports landscape, such as controversies or rule changes, might also have an indirect impact. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either competitor winning has the potential to move this market.