TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 5:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Cheongju and Seongnam in the Korea K-League 2, focusing on the result after the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market will determine whether Cheongju, Seongnam, or a tied result occurs by the end of normal time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is significantly delayed or canceled, the market will be resolved fairly based on prevailing conditions.
If Cheongju wins the Cheongju vs Seongnam professional Korea K-League 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Seongnam wins the Cheongju vs Seongnam professional Korea K-League 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Cheongju vs Seongnam professional Korea K-League 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to trade based on their own insights, leading to odds that can diverge from traditional bookmakers. If a significant amount of money is wagered on one outcome, the price will adjust accordingly, potentially signaling a different expectation than sportsbook lines. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional methods, especially when incorporating diverse information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders directly buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe an outcome is likely, the price of that contract increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations. The current price represents the implied probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the trading activity on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cheongju vs Seongnam match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available information. The outcome will be determined by which team wins the match. Any potential overtime or tie-breaking procedures will be considered in determining the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 9, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all impact the perceived likelihood of each team winning. Unexpected announcements related to team performance or coaching changes could also trigger significant shifts in the market. Furthermore, any public statements from analysts or experts offering their predictions could sway trader sentiment. Major upsets in related matches or broader sporting events might also indirectly influence trading behavior in this market.