TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:21 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Cheltenham Town FC and Salford City FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cheltenham Town FC" if Cheltenham Town FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Salford City FC" if Salford City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Cheltenham Town FC and Salford City FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cheltenham Town FC" if Cheltenham Town FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Salford City FC" if Salford City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, potential injuries, or even weather conditions. Observing these differences can be insightful, as the market may offer value where sportsbooks are less accurate in their assessments of the first team to score.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective forecast. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Cheltenham will score first, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa for Salford. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest insights.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, Cheltenham Town FC or Salford City FC, scores the first goal in the match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential disputes regarding the first goal scorer will be resolved by referencing official match data and established football rules, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cheltenham or Salford would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form based on recent match results, or even weather forecasts predicting challenging playing conditions, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected tactical announcements from either manager could also impact the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first, leading to adjustments in the market price. Any significant pre-match news will be quickly reflected in trading activity.