TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 1.5 goals will be scored in the Chelsea versus Manchester United professional English Premier League soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 1.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the total goals scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported according to the resolution source. Keep an eye on the match itself, as this market will resolve to Yes if over 2.5 goals are scored when the game is originally scheduled for October 31, 2026.
The markets resolve based on whether the total goals scored in the Chelsea vs Manchester United EPL match scheduled for October 31, 2026, exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The match must be completed within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. If the match is postponed, canceled, or otherwise not completed within the defined timeframe, all markets will be voided. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand as traders buy and sell contracts. If a significant number of traders believe a certain outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of that outcome in this market will rise. Conversely, if traders disagree with sportsbook pricing, the price will fall, potentially offering value to informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy and offer to sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Chelsea vs Manchester United match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a specific total is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the event's potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Chelsea vs Manchester United match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics reported by a recognized sports data provider. The contract corresponding to the actual total goals scored will pay out $1.00, while all other contracts will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Chelsea or Manchester United would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected goal total. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from reputable football experts predicting a high or low-scoring game could sway market sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself could also cause noticeable price fluctuations.