TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:38 AM EST
Kalshi
For the Chelsea versus Manchester United EPL fixture set for October 31, 2026, this event determines if both clubs find the back of the net at least once throughout the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee.
If Chelsea and Manchester United both score a goal in the Chelsea vs Manchester United EPL match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often leading to more accurate probabilities than traditional sportsbook odds, which can be influenced by biases or marketing efforts. While sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, this market allows participants to continuously update their beliefs based on new information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information access and analytical approaches between individual traders and sportsbook operators. It's common to see prediction markets converge towards the true probability as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Chelsea and Manchester United will score during the match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies. As more traders participate, the market price reflects the aggregated intelligence of the crowd, offering a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of both teams finding the net.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Chelsea and Manchester United score at least one goal each during the scheduled match. Official match data from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine the final result. The market will then settle based on whether both teams scoring occurred, providing a clear and objective outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Chelsea or Manchester United would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion or betting patterns observed elsewhere might be reflected in the price on Kalshi.