TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 3.5 goals will be scored in the Chelsea versus Bournemouth professional EPL soccer game. Currently, the probability of “Will over 3.5 goals be scored?” is 99.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the total goals scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as defined by the official result of the match. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the Chelsea vs Bournemouth game on October 10, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for determining the final outcome.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the Chelsea vs Bournemouth professional EPL soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Multiple markets exist, each corresponding to a different goal threshold (over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals). For any given market, if the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering different insights than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts aiming to balance risk and profit, while this market’s pricing is driven by the collective predictions of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors a particular outcome. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Chelsea vs Bournemouth match. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis, news, and expectations, constantly updating the market price. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the most up-to-date collective prediction about the total goals scored.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally from the Chelsea vs Bournemouth match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the official match, including any own goals or goals scored during extra time (if applicable), will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by recognized sports data providers and governing bodies.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Chelsea or Bournemouth would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements close to kickoff, or even significant pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could all contribute to shifts in the market’s pricing.