TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:30 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Chelsea FC and Manchester United FC, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Chelsea FC" if Chelsea FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Chelsea FC and Manchester United FC, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Chelsea FC" if Chelsea FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and perceived biases, while this market aggregates the views of individuals actively trading on the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of each team scoring first, and comparing them can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their beliefs, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of either Chelsea or Manchester United scoring first. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is solely determined by supply and demand within Predict.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first goal in the Chelsea versus Manchester United match will be declared the winner of this market. Resolution will be based on the official match records and verified against credible public sources. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be handled according to Predict’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Chelsea or Manchester United would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to movement. Any significant development that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market.