TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:50 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Chelsea FC and Manchester United FC, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Chelsea FC" if Chelsea FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Chelsea FC and Manchester United FC, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Chelsea FC" if Chelsea FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The more shares purchased for a particular team, the higher the price will rise, indicating increased confidence in their chances of scoring first in the second half.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the second half of the Chelsea FC versus Manchester United FC match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in the resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Chelsea or Manchester United could significantly shift the odds. Tactical changes announced by either manager, such as a change in formation or starting lineup, could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, live game events during the first half, like early goals or red cards, will likely cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the evolving situation. Unexpected weather conditions could also play a role, influencing the style of play and potentially affecting scoring opportunities.