TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that determines the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Chattanooga vs Western Carolina college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If Western Carolina wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold in any given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, if Chattanooga wins by more than the specified threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. For games postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can influence the price here, potentially creating discrepancies. It’s common to see this market incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks may not immediately factor in, leading to potentially different probabilities assigned to outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the final spread and capitalizing on price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Chattanooga vs Western Carolina game, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Once the game concludes and the official spread is established, the market will settle, and winning contracts will be paid out according to the final outcome. Traders will know the result shortly after the game's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Chattanooga or Western Carolina teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced by either team could also move the price. Finally, any significant public betting patterns observed at sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids in this market.