TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential margin of victory in an upcoming professional soccer match between Charlton and Norwich. Each market evaluates different thresholds for how many goals the winning team must score beyond the opponent to settle as 'Yes'. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Charlton vs Norwich EFL Championship match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Charlton wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, or if Norwich wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals. All markets exclusively consider regular time results and explicitly exclude extra time or penalty shootout outcomes. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as more information and opinions are incorporated, potentially revealing discrepancies between public perception and professional forecasts. It’s a valuable tool for comparing and contrasting different viewpoints.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Charlton vs Norwich match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe Charlton will cover the spread, the price will rise, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, offering a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Charlton vs Norwich match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official spread determined by the sporting event organizers. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date to understand potential catalysts that could influence the market.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Charlton or Norwich would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or key player availability would be particularly influential. Monitoring sports news and analysis related to both teams is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could shift the market.