TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Charlton and Bristol City. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Charlton and Bristol City in their EFL Championship match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total exceeds that threshold. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market’s prices are driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the event’s probability. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the total goals scored and capitalizing on price discrepancies. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices dynamically adjust, reflecting the evolving collective forecast for the match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Charlton vs Bristol City match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which contract – representing a specific total goals range – corresponds to the actual result of the game, and those holding the winning contracts will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Charlton or Bristol City would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected goal tally. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches revealed before the match could shift trader sentiment. Even public perception, reflected in pre-match analysis and commentary, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.