TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:09 PM EST
Kalshi
Another soccer match evaluates the victory margin between two teams. The result hinges on whether one side achieves a specified goal difference over the other in the course of the game.
This event is determined by the goal differential in the Charlton versus Bristol City EFL Championship match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Four potential resolutions exist: Charlton winning by over 2.5 goals, Charlton winning by over 1.5 goals, Bristol City winning by over 1.5 goals, or Bristol City winning by over 2.5 goals. Only the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time count toward the outcome—extra time and penalties are irrelevant. The market resolves based exclusively on the final score after standard match time, with the platform having no official connection to the league governing body.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders react to news and adjust their positions. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the probabilities involved.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different sides of the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to price discovery. As more volume is traded, the price tends to converge towards a more accurate representation of the true probability. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay or receive for a contract on the spread.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread for the Charlton vs Bristol City match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the payout to contract holders based on whether the actual spread matched the contract they held. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Charlton or Bristol City could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match commentary from analysts, might also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information entering the market, potentially leading to substantial price movements. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.