TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Charlton wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Charlton wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 01d:01h:24m
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This event tracks the outcome of an EFL Championship soccer match between Charlton and Bolton, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of the Charlton versus Bolton EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for November 3, 2026, each defined by a specific goal-differential threshold for either team to win by. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts. If Charlton wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Charlton wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not exceeding 2.5), the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Bolton wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if Bolton wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Each market operates independently, and only the corresponding condition for that specific market needs to be met for it to resolve positively. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there's considerable uncertainty surrounding the Charlton vs Bolton match. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential outcomes and associated probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Charlton vs Bolton match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The platform uses a market-making system to ensure there are always bids and asks available, facilitating trading even with low volume. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price differences.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Charlton vs Bolton match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Charlton or Bolton would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations and move the market accordingly.