TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets assesses the margin of victory for Charlotte or Orlando in their MLS match. Resolution depends on whether the winning team achieves a score differential exceeding various thresholds after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential if Charlotte or Orlando wins the match. For markets specifying Charlotte winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, the market resolves to Yes only if Charlotte wins by exceeding those margins. Similarly, markets for Orlando winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals resolve to Yes only if Orlando achieves those margins. All evaluations occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often incorporating information not immediately available to sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but this market allows for continuous adjustment as new information emerges from fans, analysts, and even late-breaking news. While sportsbooks may initially have different odds, this market can sometimes predict outcomes more accurately, especially when there's significant public interest or hidden information influencing the event. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but divergences can also occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the Charlotte vs Orlando spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of a particular outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose money if they are wrong. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants, offering a real-time assessment of the likely spread.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread for the Charlotte vs Orlando game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant sports league. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The platform ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process, relying on established sources for the official game results.
Several factors could influence the Charlotte vs Orlando spread market. Injury reports for key players on either team would likely cause significant movement, as would any changes in coaching strategies or team dynamics. Unexpected news regarding player availability, such as suspensions or illnesses, could also impact the market. Furthermore, public sentiment and expert analysis, particularly if they shift dramatically, can influence trader behavior and adjust the price of this market. Major upsets in other games involving these teams could also indirectly affect predictions and trading activity.