TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:40 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track various point-spread thresholds for North Texas to cover against Charlotte in an upcoming college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of victory margin required for North Texas to satisfy the condition. The outcomes depend entirely on the final score of the match.
All markets resolve based on whether North Texas wins the Charlotte vs North Texas college football game by a margin exceeding the specified point differential. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original schedule, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, but may adjust less quickly to new information. This market, driven by traders on Kalshi, incorporates a wider range of data and perspectives, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the incentives of participants in each venue. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Charlotte vs North Texas spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract, effectively representing a forecast of the final point spread.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Charlotte vs North Texas game, as reported by a major sports data provider, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts redeemed based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Charlotte or North Texas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on team performance in preceding games, or even public perception shifts based on sports analysts' opinions, can all contribute to fluctuations in the market price. Major betting trends or large volume trades on Kalshi could also indicate shifts in expectations.