TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:20 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of both teams in the first half of an upcoming college football game, focusing on the margin of victory for either Charlotte or North Texas. Outcomes are determined solely by points scored before halftime, with specific thresholds defining each market's resolution.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Charlotte vs North Texas college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market has a distinct numerical threshold for the winning team's point differential: markets exist for North Texas winning by margins ranging from over 2.5 to over 34.5 points, and for Charlotte winning by margins ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official first-half result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing disruptions.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to differences in the perceived probability of each team covering the spread. While sportsbooks may initially set a spread based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market continuously adjusts as new information and opinions emerge from traders, potentially offering a more dynamic and accurate assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Charlotte vs North Texas spread. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to a dynamic and real-time reflection of sentiment. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in a particular outcome, while significant price movements can signal a shift in expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official first-half spread result of the Charlotte vs North Texas game as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which side of the spread, Charlotte or North Texas, performed better during the first half of the game. The final result will be used to determine which contracts payout and at what value.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Charlotte or North Texas teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal dynamics, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to the latest information.