TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 9:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Charlotte and Montreal. Bettors can speculate on whether Charlotte will win, Montreal will win, or the game will end in a tie within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Charlotte vs Montreal MLS soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Charlotte or Montreal occurs only if that team secures a victory within regular time; a tied score after regular time resolves the 'Tie' market as 'Yes.' Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's procedures. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect market resolution, as only the result after regular time counts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, and prices can shift rapidly based on new information or changing sentiment. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new developments emerge, and the market absorbs information that sportsbooks haven’t fully incorporated into their odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to dynamic price movements. The market depth, or the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels, also influences price discovery and stability.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Charlotte vs Montreal match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts aligned with the actual result. The final price of contracts will reflect the probability of each outcome at the time of resolution, determining the gains or losses for those who participated in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Major shifts in public sentiment, as reflected by analysis from sports commentators or updated statistical models, could also drive price changes. Furthermore, large trades executed by individual participants or groups could create short-term volatility and influence the overall direction of this market until resolution.