TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market will settle based on the first half result of the Charlotte vs Memphis Pro Basketball game scheduled for October 16, 2026. Only the halftime score matters for resolution, with specific conditions for ties and game disruptions.
The market resolves based on which team leads at the end of the first half of the Charlotte vs Memphis Pro Basketball game scheduled for October 16, 2026. If Charlotte leads after the first half, the Charlotte market resolves to Yes. If Memphis leads after the first half, the Memphis market resolves to Yes. If the teams are tied after the first half, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of people believe one team is more likely to win, the price for that outcome will rise, potentially moving further away from initial sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and adjusts in real-time based on new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first half of the Charlotte vs Memphis game will be declared the winner of this market. The official score at halftime, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the winning outcome. Trading will cease once the first half concludes and the result is officially known.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Charlotte or Memphis teams would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team performance could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, general public sentiment and media coverage leading up to the game, as well as early game performance during the first few minutes, could all contribute to shifts in the market price.