TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Charlotte and Dallas. Bettors can speculate on whether Charlotte, Dallas, or neither team (a tie) will win the game within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The resolution depends strictly on the result after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Charlotte vs Dallas professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for the Charlotte market occurs if Charlotte wins the match in regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Dallas occurs if Dallas secures the victory within the same timeframe. If the game concludes in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. These rules ensure that outcomes reflect only the events occurring within the standard match duration and address contingencies for scheduling disruptions.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an event. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It's common to see shifts as game day approaches and new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and liquidity, indicated by the volume traded, also influence price discovery. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Charlotte vs Dallas game. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on publicly available data. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The process is designed to be transparent and based on objective results.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected performance from key players in recent games, or changes in team strategy, can also impact market sentiment. Public perception, fueled by media coverage and expert analysis, plays a role as well. Major upsets in other games that affect playoff standings or team motivation could also create movement in this market. Monitoring these signals can help inform trading decisions.