TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:24 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 31 at 1:00 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 31 at 1:00 PM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by trader predictions. If a significant disparity exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, encouraging traders to exploit the difference. It’s common to see this market incorporate information and perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds still serve as a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive its price up, indicating increased confidence, while selling pressure will lower the price. This dynamic process ensures the market price remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Charlotte FC vs. Orlando City SC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that resolves the market will depend on the market’s parameters, such as which team wins, or if the match ends in a draw. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 31, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Charlotte FC or Orlando City SC would likely cause significant shifts. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even external factors like weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is anticipated during the match, might play a role. Any news or information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths will likely be reflected in the market price.