TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional hockey game between the Charlotte Checkers and the Hershey Bears. The result depends solely on which team wins the match as originally scheduled. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the rescheduled date, with specific conditions for handling cancellations.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Charlotte Checkers vs. Hershey Bears professional AHL hockey game originally scheduled for October 3, 2026, at 6:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and will close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two weeks of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond this two-week window, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team. The markets for both teams are independent, each resolving to 'Yes' only if their respective team wins the game. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to dynamically adjust probabilities based on new information and analysis. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, you might see a different picture here as traders incorporate factors sportsbooks may overlook. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as the playoffs progress and more data becomes available, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more people buy contracts for a specific team, the price of those contracts increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express and aggregate their collective forecast for the AHL playoffs.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the AHL playoffs is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results declared by the American Hockey League. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances at that time. It’s important to monitor the progress of the playoffs as the resolution date approaches, as any unexpected developments could significantly impact the market.
Several signals could significantly influence this market. Key player injuries on either the Charlotte Checkers or the Hershey Bears would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected upsets in early playoff rounds, changes in coaching strategies, or even momentum swings during individual games could all move the market. Major news regarding team performance, such as a star player being traded, would also be a catalyst. Following game results, injury reports, and expert analysis will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.