TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Charleston and Louisville City, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are placed on whether a team will win by a specific number of goals or more.
The event evaluates different winning margins in the Charleston vs Louisville City USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: Charleston winning by more than 2.5 goals, Charleston winning by more than 1.5 goals, Louisville City winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Louisville City winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each threshold represents a separate condition that, if met, resolves the corresponding market to 'Yes'. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many participants. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to accurately predict the outcome of the Charleston vs Louisville City match, and discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Charleston vs Louisville City match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of a particular outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual result. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Charleston vs Louisville City match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant shifts in team performance could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors affecting the match could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or significant media coverage surrounding the Charleston vs Louisville City match could cause the price to move. Monitoring these signals can help traders make more informed decisions.