TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Charleston and Louisville City, focusing specifically on the result after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on which team secures a victory within this timeframe, with a separate outcome for a tied result. Any changes to the game's schedule or cancellation conditions special pricing adjustments.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Charleston vs Louisville City professional USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time awarded by the referee, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the respective markets for Charleston win, Louisville City win, or Tie, depending on which condition is met. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per platform rules. The markets exclusively consider regulation time results, with no regard for postseason or tournament implications.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may adjust less quickly to new information. This market, driven by traders on Kalshi, can incorporate a wider range of factors and react more dynamically to news and sentiment. While sportsbooks may offer more variety in betting options, prediction markets often provide a more accurate forecast of the final outcome, as evidenced by historical performance.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that continuously updates based on supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of expectations for the Charleston vs Louisville City match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Charleston vs Louisville City match, as declared by the governing soccer league. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure an accurate and transparent settlement of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions affecting the match location could also be a catalyst. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence trading activity. Finally, any in-game events during the Charleston vs Louisville City match itself – such as early goals or red cards – would immediately and dramatically move the market.