TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:03 PM EST
Kalshi
In this soccer contest, one team aims to secure a win within the regular period, while a stalemate leads to a different resolution. Any postponement or cancellation of the game results in an adjusted settlement to maintain equity.
The market resolves based on the result of the Charleston vs Indy Eleven professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Charleston wins, the "Charleston" market resolves to Yes. If Indy Eleven wins, the "Indy Eleven" market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome, revealing where the market finds value relative to traditional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds are not set by a bookmaker but are determined by supply and demand within the market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Charleston vs Indy Eleven match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s result, aligning with established sporting event outcomes.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in team form, or even weather conditions could all shift the perceived probabilities. Significant media coverage or expert analysis offering a strong opinion on the match’s likely winner could also drive movement. Major bets placed by informed traders could also cause noticeable price changes, reflecting their conviction about the outcome. Monitoring these signals can provide insight into potential shifts in market sentiment before Oct 25, 2026.