TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:02 PM EST
Kalshi
The first half of a college football game will feature both teams competing intensely to establish an early lead through effective offense and defense.
The market resolves based on which team leads at halftime of the specified college football game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active; otherwise, it settles at a fair price. Points scored only in the first half count toward the outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading contracts, driving the price towards their collective assessment. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events impact perceptions of the game’s likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's outcome and capitalizing on price differences. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the game's likely winner in the first half. The market's efficiency is driven by the incentives for traders to discover and act upon valuable information.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the first half winner of the Charleston Southern vs Tennessee St. game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It's important to monitor the event's progress leading up to the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Charleston Southern or Tennessee St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, prompting further price adjustments before Oct 24, 2026.