TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a college football game between Charleston Southern and Clemson, focusing on which team secures a victory. The event reflects real-world sports competition where fans and analysts can predict results ahead of time. The resolution depends purely on the game's final score and adheres to specific timing guidelines for any delays.
The market resolves based on the result of the Charleston Southern vs Clemson college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final outcome. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability as assessed by traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, and the influence of public opinion. If there’s a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook lines, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders to capitalize on perceived mispricings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe Clemson is likely to win, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards the true probability of the event occurring, as determined by market participants’ actions.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Charleston Southern versus Clemson football game. Any official adjustments or rulings made after the game’s completion will be considered in determining the final outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the verified result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Unexpected news regarding key player injuries for either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by analyst predictions or media coverage, could affect trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.