TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 8:11 PM EST
Polymarket
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Chargers and Seahawks, scheduled for October 4 at 4:25 PM ET.
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Chargers and Seahawks, scheduled for October 4 at 4:25 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market relies on the collective predictions of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced a particular outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular player prop outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The most actively traded props will show the most dynamic price movements, influenced by factors like injury reports and pre-game analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released following the Chargers-Seahawks game, specifically focusing on the performance of the players involved in the associated player props. These statistics will be sourced from official league data and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. The final outcome will determine which shares pay out and at what rate.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception based on expert analysis could all trigger movement. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or adjustments to player roles would also be key catalysts. Any development that alters the perceived likelihood of a player achieving a specific statistical threshold – like a certain number of receiving yards or touchdowns – is likely to impact trading volume and price fluctuations.