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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:49 PM EST
Polymarket
First Touchdown Scorer markets for Chargers vs. Chiefs.
First Touchdown Scorer markets for Chargers vs. Chiefs.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player's chance of scoring the first touchdown. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the field. Higher demand for a player’s shares drives up the price, increasing their implied probability, while increased selling pressure lowers the price and decreases their probability. This dynamic process ensures the market reflects the most current expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player who officially scores the first touchdown in the Chargers versus Chiefs game, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official game results and will be verified against credible public sources. Any disputes regarding the official scoring record will be resolved using the official game data as the final authority.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could impact the perceived likelihood of each player scoring. Late-breaking reports on player health, particularly for key offensive players, would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Additionally, expert analysis and public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can influence trading activity and subsequently move the market. Changes in the betting lines at major sportsbooks could also create arbitrage opportunities and affect trading volume.