TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.8b

24H VOL:

$66,123,118

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,341,650,213

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,112,226,437

312,073

Markets across

30,393

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,316

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks the spread outcome for the Chargers versus Bills NFL game, with the aggregated consensus currently at 85.0%. Data is drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve according to official results listed on https://www.nfl.com/scores. The critical catalyst to monitor will be the game itself, scheduled for September 27, 2026, which will determine the final settlement of this market based on the actual point differential between the two teams when they face off that day.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: These markets reference entirely different NFL games with different teams and dates, creating a fundamental divergence in event scopeHero tip: Treat these as separate markets. The Kalshi market resolves based on the Bills vs. Browns game outcome, while the Polymarket market resolves based on the Chargers vs. Bills game outcome. Do not confuse these events.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves based on winner of Buffalo vs Cleveland Pro Football game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 - specifically mentions Browns winning or Bills winning this particular matchup
  • Polymarket: Resolves based on winner of Chargers vs. Bills game scheduled for September 27 at 1:00PM ET, with specific instructions for Chargers win, Bills win, postponement, cancellation, or tie outcomes
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00PM ET: If Chargers wins, the market will resolve to "Chargers". If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If CLE Browns wins the Buffalo vs Cleveland Pro Football game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If BUF Bills wins the Buffalo vs Cleveland Pro Football game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Chargers vs. Bills matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of various outcomes. It tracks overall volume of $6,988,565 and recent 24-hour volume of $6,876,595, letting you see consensus views across Polymarket and Kalshi. This gives a live snapshot of market sentiment and lets you compare how each venue evaluates the contest.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might see heavier betting from fans of a particular team, skewing its probability estimates. Additionally, each venue has its own fee structure and minimum trading increments, which can influence how traders place bets and, consequently, the visible odds.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game records, and all platforms will update to reflect the same final score at that time.