TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 8:06 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Chapecoense and Paranaense will be judged based on the total number of goals scored by both teams within the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on whether the total goals scored in the Chapecoense vs Paranaense Brasileiro Serie A soccer game scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, exceed specific thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty goals are excluded from all calculations. The secondary rule clarifies that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the odds in this market can adjust more rapidly than those at sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before a significant event, as traders incorporate diverse perspectives and react to new data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market's price, while significant price swings can signal new information or changing expectations about the Chapecoense vs Paranaense match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final outcome will be the total number of goals scored in the Chapecoense vs Paranaense match, as officially recorded by the relevant sporting authorities. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual total goals scored in the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Chapecoense or Paranaense would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team formations or tactical changes could also drive trading volume. Finally, any major upsets in other matches involving these teams could indirectly affect trader sentiment and move the market.