TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 2.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 2.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 22h:33m:59s
$
The match between Chapecoense and Mirassol will resolve multiple outcome markets based on the total number of goals scored by both teams within the standard 90-minute regulation time, including any added stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
All markets resolve based solely on the total goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from consideration. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the cumulative goals meet or exceed the specified threshold for each market (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct resolution criterion.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals buying and selling contracts based on their own analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information or viewpoints not fully captured by sportsbooks. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders directly buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the total goals scored in the Chapecoense vs Mirassol match. The current price indicates what percentage of the contract’s face value a buyer must pay to hold it until resolution.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Chapecoense vs Mirassol match – will be used to determine whether the over 2.5 goals contract settles in the money. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Chapecoense or Mirassol would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the game's pace or scoring opportunities, could also play a role. Even significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams' attacking capabilities could influence traders' decisions and move the price. Unexpected lineup announcements close to kickoff could also trigger volatility in this market.