TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Chapecoense vs Mirassol
⌛Ending Soon
limitless
kalshi

What is the result of Chapecoense vs Mirassol?

Total volume:
$182
Volume 24h:
$140
1,337%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$182
335%

Mirassol

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 01d:03h:17m

Mirassol wins

47%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 47¢ buys you 213 shares | Odds: 47% Total Payout: $213 | Net Profit: $113 Multiplier: 2.13x | ROI: 113% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mirassol

Trade
47%
2%
Yes 47¢No 54.5¢
1.5¢
N/A
$151
260%
N/A
$151
1d 3h 17m
Active
limitless

Mirassol

Trade
N/A
N/A
6.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 17m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
47%
Yes 47¢No 54.5¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 6.5¢
kalshi

Chapecoense

Trade
28%
Yes 27.5¢No 73¢
0.5¢
N/A
$21
0%
N/A
$21
1d 3h 17m
Active
limitless

Chapecoense-sc

Trade
N/A
N/A
5.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 17m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
28%
Yes 27.5¢No 73¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 5.5¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
26%
Yes 27.5¢No 73.5¢
1¢
N/A
$11
0%
N/A
$11
1d 3h 17m
Active
limitless

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
5.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 17m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
26%
Yes 27.5¢No 73.5¢
Avg: 3.3¢Max: 5.5¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between Chapecoense and Mirassol scheduled for November 3, 2026. Markets exist for Chapecoense winning, Mirassol winning, or the match ending in a draw, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms define resolution based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties, and address postponed or incomplete matches.Primary resolution logic: Official Brasileiro Serie A results

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from consideration.
  • If the match is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • Official results from the governing body are used to resolve the market in cases of incomplete or abandoned matches.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Abandonment: If the match is abandoned before 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market will resolve based on the official result recognized by the governing body. If no official result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, the limitless markets resolve to 'NO' for win/draw markets.
  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, the markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the scheduled match, or upon official recognition of a result if the match is abandoned or canceled.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of a Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between Chapecoense and Mirassol scheduled for November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Chapecoense, a win for Mirassol, or a tie. If the match ends in a draw after regular time, the 'Tie' outcome is triggered. Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, using the standard match result as the sole determinant of resolution.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 3, 2026, 22:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi and Limitless, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Chapecoense vs Mirassol match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $182, with $140 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of predictions, combining insights from traders on each venue. The dashboard displays a weighted average of probabilities based on trading activity, offering a comprehensive look at expectations for the result of this soccer match. This provides a unique perspective beyond traditional odds.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Limitless, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets reflect the collective beliefs of traders who have skin in the game. This market’s odds can be influenced by information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, such as late-breaking news or specialized knowledge. The resulting price discovery process often leads to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches.

Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Kalshi and Limitless for the Chapecoense vs Mirassol match may diverge due to differing user bases, trading strategies, and market structures. Each platform attracts a unique set of participants with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for setting prices – order books, automated market makers, etc. – can influence how quickly and efficiently information is incorporated into the odds. These factors contribute to independent price discovery, potentially resulting in observable differences even though both markets address the same underlying event.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Chapecoense vs Mirassol match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, including any potential overtime or penalty shootouts, as reported by official sports sources. The resolution process ensures a transparent and reliable outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Chapecoense or Mirassol could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions affecting the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or broader trends in the league standings might influence predictions. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential price movements in this market.